Russian President Vladimir Putin is ready for a new "hybrid operation". He made it clear at his sensational Federal Assembly. This was told by Russian political scientist Valery Solovey in an interview with the radio station Ekho Moskvy.

According to Soloviev, a new war will become inevitable if the defense minister is replaced in Putin's new government.

"This means that Russia, that is, President Putin, is ready for a new tour of political revisionism. This tour should begin and end before May 9," Nightingale said.

He specified that Belarus alone is not enough for Russia to create the Union State.

"It was conceived a long time ago. And by and large, this is the idea of ​​​​geopolitical revenge - revenge in history. Remember, Vladimir Vladimirovich said all the time that the collapse of the Soviet Union was the largest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century. He wants to know revenge in history. And he is driven by this idea , at least since 2009, at least since 2009, he has been consistently, step by step, preparing this revenge," the Russian expert shared his opinion.

He warned that not only Ukraine and Belarus, but also the Baltic countries are in great danger. According to Nightingale, in the event of Kremlin aggression, "the NATO umbrella will not protect them," since this requires the will of US President Donald Trump, and he has warm feelings for his Russian counterpart.

"The situation will develop along a tragic course, I know it", - said the political scientist. He stressed that the Kremlin is actively preparing the whole country for a new war of aggression.

“If you pay attention to the mass evacuations of schools, first in Moscow, now in other cities, this is preparation for the introduction of a state of emergency. This is planned,” Solovey said. He recalled how back in 2013 no one could believe in the possibility of a Russian attack on Ukraine. Everything happened at lightning speed. Probably, with the new war there will be a similar situation.

According to Nightingale, the Kremlin will find a formal reason for aggression quickly. This may be, in particular, the already familiar "protection of the Russian-speakers" in the Baltic countries, or "peace enforcement" of Ukraine.

“I won’t lie about the Baltic countries, but about the change in the tone of coverage of President Zelensky - absolutely.

Earlier, Dialog.UA reported that Gleb Pavlovsky: "The resignation of the government is a planned special operation by Putin."

In addition, Volokh Putin's "support" for young mothers in Russia: "The Fuhrer needs soldiers."

Also Babchenko, what scenario Putin has prepared for Russia: "My dear pink ponies, this is just the beginning. Run."

- Andrey Zayakin from Dissernet found that in Russia forty thousand criminal cases and arrests are very likely related to the fact that drugs were planted and the case was falsified. Is there a chance of new high-profile cases after the “release of steam” on such a super-resonant topic, when people really finally unite, and it won’t matter at all what these or other opinion leaders think - people will still take to the streets?

— I believe that the chances of this are very high and moreover, it is inevitable. What we are now seeing is the formation of massive new rights. This is somewhat similar to what happened in 2011, well, we will not take 2012, the dynamics there were already high. That after all, a considerable group of people is ready to leave, despite the fact that they are trying to bring down the dynamics on this, despite the fact that these people are being pressured. In other words, society is changing right before our eyes. The readiness for mobilization is much greater than six months ago. Much more. She will grow. But in order for this readiness to turn into something effective, it is necessary to practice, that is, to take to the streets.

Willingness to take risks will increase when people see something new. As soon as we feel that there are several tens of thousands of us, and moreover, when these several tens of thousands behave a little more organized, and there are chances for this, that is, some kind of organizing principle appears, then the behavior of these people will be different. Not immediately, but gradually, such three or four mass actions will be required in order for people to start behaving differently, and the flip side is for the police to become afraid of them. I am talking about this quite thoroughly: there are not many police, riot police in Moscow. And it is quite possible to force them to keep their distance, at least to force them to stop the atrocities that they demonstrated on June 12th.

- Well, there was a feeling that the entire personnel was expelled.

- Only half, the list of riot police in Moscow is only three thousand people. But these are drivers, including clerical workers, in reality there are not many of them, do you understand? And as soon as twenty-five to thirty thousand people take to the streets who are ready to resist, who have some kind of organizing principle, the situation will change.

- Valery Dmitrievich, already on the day of our broadcast, I had the following observation: in particular, on Strastnoy Boulevard, I saw that people know that they are being screwed, but they are not afraid of it, they are ready for it. Moreover, I saw how young guys just clearly got into a clutch in order to grab each other's hands and make it difficult, let's say, to isolate someone from the crowd. So did the older women.

— Yes, the older women were determined. The situation has changed in our heads, it is changing, and in order for this change in our heads to become part of our behavior, some more time must pass. Some processes take time to mature. But that time is no longer infinitely far away. I can say that next year already, I'm not sure about this one, but next year we will see new political behavior.

- Is this the same cumulative effect, Valery Dmitrievich, that everyone is talking about?

- Probably. Look, it's all starting to pay off. Look, we talked six months ago, a year ago - yes, irritation and hatred are accumulating, people's consciousness is starting to change, and it is starting to change very quickly. Since the autumn of last year, people have undergone a colossal evolution, namely a political one. And now they write to me from Tuapse: “We used to sell T-shirts with Putin on the beach, they were quite popular, but this year they don’t sell them. This seems to be a funny observation, but it seems to me a more accurate indicator than sociology. Because this is a marketing classic: they don’t sell what is not in demand.These small merchants perfectly feel the mood of society, the mood of people who come, and not the poorest people come to Anapa, because vacationing on the Black Sea coast is more expensive than in Turkey.

- In this regard, the question is, look, the authorities are monitoring the situation, they are aware of themselves. But why, at the same time, such a stupid attack on wallets and on the rights of people continues? I mean raising the retirement age, VAT, against this background, some absolutely wild stories with infill development in the yards, it is clear that they are corrupt, it is clear that there are some fraudulent stories with land surveying, then all these landfills - also corruption stories. Why somehow they do not want to slow down a little bit? Do they understand that people will inevitably take to the streets, because there is simply nowhere else to go?

- Here you yourself said the key word - stupid. What do you want from stupid and greedy people? Here are two factors that drive them: the lack of ability to think strategically, and the second is greed. They understand that the matter is coming to an end, it is necessary to grab as much as possible now. This is now a characteristic psychology, a characteristic feature of a significant part of domestic officials - at least those on whom the solution of economic issues depends. And thirdly, they have experience, they are used to the fact that people do not resist. Remember, we discussed this several times? They go by experience. And when they run into resistance, which turns out to be very effective and irreversible, then the line will be surpassed, broken, and, as it turns out, it will be impossible to win back. Those people that we are now warning privately or publicly, as now, they will run in terror. And nothing can be done. Even now, I know, a month and a half ago, for the first time I was told about this by high-ranking officials that "things are heading towards disaster." A year ago they didn't say anything like that, but a month and a half ago they said: "We feel, but we can't do anything."

- Well, nothing, just on Friday evening, after the end of the working day, a gorgeous letter appeared on social networks. Writes the district head of the Center for Combating Extremism of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, from the northwestern district. He writes to the head of the administration of the Northern Tushino district: they say, you know, various troublemakers are now traveling all over Moscow, engaged in propaganda processing of residents and destabilization. Literally, he wrote as follows: “various political and public associations, opposition groups of citizens carry out propaganda actions aimed at drawing the attention of residents to the problems of improvement and renovation in their places of residence,” that is, the discussion by Muscovites of poor-quality improvement and sawing is already equated with extremism.

- What do you want, there is such a wonderful Russian saying: "Fools are not sown and not plowed. They will be born themselves." Do these people need to prove and justify their own existence? They cannot say that the Moscow authorities are to blame with their predatory and thoughtless and insane policy of plundering all the resources that this city has. And there are a lot of resources here. And violence against Muscovites, because all the authorities don't give a damn about Muscovites and their opinion.

“Maybe it’s just systematic work, Valery Dmitrievich?”

— If only it were so! This is reminiscent of the Soviet joke: "On the occasion of the seventieth anniversary of the October Revolution, posthumously award Nicholas II with the Order of Lenin for shaping the revolutionary situation." I see people who intensively shape this situation, but they do it unintentionally, I know this for sure. They do it out of stupidity, greed, or because they don't care at all. Because the main thing is to send them a report to the authorities so that they are not touched, and solve their own, mainly commercial tasks. The information that is sent to the federal center from the regions that goes to the Kremlin is distorted, it is false, it does not correspond to reality through any of the channels. That is, only that which corresponds to the picture of the world of the people making the decision is sent.

- Well, it seemed to us that for more than a year the authorities have been catching local activists in the yards and for some reason recklessly sewing "rally" articles for them. It seems that this is the handwriting of the "Eshniks". That is, why would a resident detained in the yard suddenly be charged with a rally? Or a janitor who came to fight for his labor rights against the theft of his salary - they also write that he allegedly went to a rally.

- The methods of work of special services with political activists are now being transferred to district activists who solve their local problems. Second, these methods receive encouragement from their own bosses, from the central government, since a strategic decision has been made to pursue a "hard course". Therefore, there is no need to flatter yourself about the Golunov case, the course will be tough. They will react to the speeches of troublemakers, "incited by the West", as "befits". It just becomes difficult, because it is very difficult to blame a resident of Chemodanovka, residents of Urdoma, the Arkhangelsk region as a whole, residents of Syktyvkar, that they are incited by the West or Navalny.

Nightingale himself, in a conversation with, did not want to either confirm or deny this information, explaining that his employer has "the right to inform first."

“The employer hasn’t told me anything yet, so all the questions are for him, but I myself don’t comment. I haven’t been told anything formally or unofficially. I don’t know if the contract has been broken or not. I have nothing to say,” he said.

In the telegram channels, meanwhile, a version appeared that the professor was supposedly fired "on a call from the Presidential Administration." Recall that the political scientist often and willingly criticized the Kremlin's domestic and foreign policy.

In 2012, Valery Solovey actively worked on the creation of the New Force political party, at some point even became its chairman. However, the Ministry of Justice did not register the organization. In parliament, the party of Valery Solovyov was supposed to represent moderate nationalists as well.

The professor is also known for his successful predictions. For example, he predicted a reshuffle in the Presidential Administration, the departure Viacheslav Volodin in place of the Speaker of the State Duma and strengthening Anton Vaino.

"I read in the telegram channels that he was fired" on a call from the Presidential Administration. "Valery Solovey gives an analysis of the current political situation, which, frankly, is unflattering for the authorities. I just know the manner of modern employees of the Presidential Administration. They tend to retouch the situation. Remove Nightingale - and everything will be fine," the journalist commented on the situation. Maxim Shevchenko.

Possible dismissal Valeria Nightingale from MGIMO, he called the introduction of a "ban on the profession."

“They also closed me everywhere when I supported and became Grudinin’s confidant. They fired me from everywhere, called all the places where I had contracts, channels, radio broadcasting. It’s the same story with Nightingale. one of the brightest and most famous political scientists can be taken and fired from the chair like this - this is chaos. This is what they called Das Berufsverbot in Germany - a ban on the profession, "the journalist suggests.

It was not possible to quickly get a comment from MGIMO, the press service of the university referred to the busyness of the staff at SPIEF.